{"id":1046,"date":"2023-02-05T18:19:39","date_gmt":"2023-02-05T18:19:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/amazing-banzai.188-132-230-163.plesk.page\/index.php\/2023\/02\/05\/borsada-yarin-bizleri-neler-bekliyor-05-subat-2023\/"},"modified":"2023-02-05T18:19:39","modified_gmt":"2023-02-05T18:19:39","slug":"borsada-yarin-bizleri-neler-bekliyor-05-subat-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/amazing-banzai.188-132-230-163.plesk.page\/index.php\/2023\/02\/05\/borsada-yarin-bizleri-neler-bekliyor-05-subat-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"Borsada yar\u0131n bizleri neler bekliyor? 05 \u015eubat 2023"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>27 Ocak 2023 cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc 5191,83 seviyesinden kapatan Bist100 endeksi, bu hafta kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 4997,63 seviyesinden ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirerek %3,74 de\u011fer kaybetti. B\u00f6ylece 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde Bist100\u2019deki de\u011fer kayb\u0131 %9,23 e ula\u015ft\u0131. Borsada geride kalan be\u015f haftan\u0131n ard\u0131ndan her ne kadar Bist100 endeksi y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana %9,23 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle bu hafta kapan\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirse de asl\u0131nda bir \u00e7ok hissede zirve g\u00f6rd\u00fckleri noktalardan 0-40 aras\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Bundan sonraki s\u00fcre\u00e7te yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck merak konusu olan iki tane fakt\u00f6r bulunuyor. Birincisi, endekste d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f s\u00fcreci geride kald\u0131 m\u0131? \u0130kincisi ise, endeks y\u00fckseli\u015fe ba\u015flarsa benim hissem y\u00fckselecek mi? \u0130lerleyen g\u00fcnlerde Bist100 endeksinin tamamen y\u00fckseli\u015f s\u00fcrecine girmesi halinde bu konular hakk\u0131nda daha geni\u015f \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131m\u0131 buradan payla\u015faca\u011f\u0131m. <\/p>\n<p>Sene ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu zamana kadar k\u0131sa bir de\u011ferlendirme yapal\u0131m. <\/p>\n<p>\u00d6ncelikle \u015funu belirtmekte fayda g\u00f6r\u00fcyorum. Sosyal medyada payla\u015f\u0131lan endeks analizlerinde dolar bazl\u0131 endeks analizlerinin sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Dolar\/TL grafi\u011fine bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda \u00f6zellikle son 6 ayda neredeyse fiyat\u0131n sabit kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Ancak son alt\u0131 ayda dolar sabit olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen \u015firketlerin faaliyetlerinde etken olan ham madde fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n, amortisman giderlerinin, \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n \u00fccretlerinin, elektrik do\u011falgaz fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n vb. enflasyon nedeniyle y\u00fckseldi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. \u015eirket giderlerinin dolar sabit olmas\u0131na  ra\u011fmen artmas\u0131yla elbette ciro kayb\u0131 ya\u015famamalar\u0131 i\u00e7in sat\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131klar\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcnlere zam yapt\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Durum b\u00f6yle olunca \u015firketlerin a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131klar\u0131 bilan\u00e7olarda has\u0131latlar\u0131n\u0131n do\u011fal olarak artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve gelir gider dengesini sa\u011flad\u0131klar\u0131nda da k\u00e2rl\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n devam etti\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Borsam\u0131z TL bazl\u0131 fiyatland\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in de \u015firket fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n borsada devaml\u0131 y\u00fckseldi\u011fini 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda g\u00f6rd\u00fck. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla borsada analiz yaparken dolar bazl\u0131 bakmak yerine enflasyon bazl\u0131 bakman\u0131n daha sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum.<\/p>\n<div class=\"kanews-banner kanews-banner-single\">\n<div style=\"min-height:280px\" data-empower-zone=\"159899\" class=\"empower-ad\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/rotaborsa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-12-large.png\" alt=\"| Rota Borsa\" class=\"wp-image-9915\" title=\"| Rota Borsa\" \/><\/figure>\n<p> Enflasyon bazl\u0131 endeks grafi\u011fine bakarken de \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131 endeksi olan \u00dcFE enflasyonunu kullanmay\u0131 tercih ediyorum. Yukar\u0131daki grafikte Bist100 endeksinin enflasyondan ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f grafi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Grafikte g\u00f6r\u00fclen beyaz yatay \u00e7izgi b\u00f6lgesi \u00dcFE bazl\u0131 endekste 2,70-2,80 aras\u0131nda 2018 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar destek oldu\u011funu, 2018 den sonra ise endeks y\u00fckseli\u015flerinde diren\u00e7 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131nda endeks \u00dcFE bazl\u0131 2,80 e geldi\u011finde, kendi twitter hesab\u0131mdan art\u0131k Bist100 endeksin enflasyon rallisi hikayesinin bitti\u011fini ve daha yukar\u0131lara fiyatlar\u0131n gitmesi i\u00e7in enflasyon d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda yeni bir hikayeye ihtiya\u00e7 duydu\u011funu anlatm\u0131\u015ft\u0131m. <\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"741\" height=\"853\" src=\"https:\/\/rotaborsa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/wwwww-large.png\" alt=\"| Rota Borsa\" class=\"wp-image-9917\" title=\"| Rota Borsa\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta ocak ay\u0131 enflasyon verilerinde T\u00dcFE %6,65 ve \u00dcFE %4,15 a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Endekse enflasyon bazl\u0131 bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda grafikteki 2,20 b\u00f6lgelerinin ge\u00e7en hafta test edildi\u011fini ve her ay a\u00e7\u0131klanacak olan ayl\u0131k enflasyon verileri ile endeks sabit bile kalsa enflasyon bazl\u0131 endeksin ucuzlayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebiliriz. Bu durumda enflasyon bazl\u0131 olarak <strong>Bist100 endeksinin se\u00e7ime kadar 6400 puana kadar potansiyel <\/strong>yaratabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. <\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/rotaborsa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-13-large.png\" alt=\"| Rota Borsa\" class=\"wp-image-9918\" title=\"| Rota Borsa\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>Teknik olarak Bist100 endeksine bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc 4480 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fckten sonra a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015fa yak\u0131n bir kapan\u0131\u015fla karars\u0131z bir g\u00fcnl\u00fck mumun ard\u0131ndan cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc endeksin etkili bir y\u00fckseli\u015fle teyit etmesi gerekti\u011fini ayn\u0131 zamanda FK bazl\u0131 endekse g\u00f6re bir \u00e7ok Bist30 hissesinin ciddi seviyede ucuzlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 <a href=\"https:\/\/rotaborsa.com\/borsada-yarin-bizleri-neler-bekliyor-02-subat-2023\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">per\u015fembe ak\u015famki yaz\u0131mda payla\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131m. <\/a>Nitekim cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Bist100 endeksi %5,16 y\u00fckselerek 4997 seviyesinden kapan\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f s\u00fcrecinin geride kalmas\u0131 ad\u0131na \u00f6nemli bir g\u00fcn geride kald\u0131. <\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/rotaborsa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-16-large.png\" alt=\"| Rota Borsa\" class=\"wp-image-9922\" title=\"| Rota Borsa\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>Saatlik grafi\u011fe bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda endeksin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f s\u00fcrecinde 9 g\u00fcn boyunca diren\u00e7 olan 20 ve 55 saatlik ortalamalar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kapan\u0131\u015flar\u0131n geldi\u011fini ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendinin \u00fczerinde fiyatlaman\u0131n ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bundan sonraki s\u00fcre\u00e7te yar\u0131n i\u00e7in 4955 ilk ara destek olmakla birlikte 4890 seviyesi ana destek seviyesidir. Ana destek 4890 alt\u0131nda fiyatlama olmas\u0131 halinde teknik olarak tekrar bir bozulma s\u00f6z konusu olabilece\u011finden fiyatlaman\u0131n muhakkak yar\u0131n 4890 \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131 \u00f6nem arz etmektedir. 5020 ilk ara diren\u00e7 seviyesi olmakla birlikte 5110 ana diren\u00e7 seviyesi \u00fczerinde fiyatlaman\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131 halinde teknik olarak \u00e7ok daha olumlu s\u00fcre\u00e7 beklenebilir. <\/p>\n<p>Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftan\u0131n ard\u0131ndan bu hafta yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yaralar\u0131n\u0131n sar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve tekrar kazan\u00e7l\u0131 g\u00fcnlerin ya\u015fanaca\u011f\u0131 bir hafta diliyorum. <\/p>\n<p><strong>Traderkng<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Burada yer alan yat\u0131r\u0131m bilgi, yorum ve tavsiyeleri yat\u0131r\u0131m dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 kapsam\u0131nda de\u011fildir. Yat\u0131r\u0131m dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 hizmeti, arac\u0131 kurumlar, portf\u00f6y y\u00f6netim \u015firketleri, mevduat kabul etmeyen bankalar ile m\u00fc\u015fteri aras\u0131nda imzalanacak yat\u0131r\u0131m dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde sunulmaktad\u0131r. Burada yer alan yorum ve tavsiyeler, yorum ve tavsiyede bulunanlar\u0131n ki\u015fisel g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerine dayanmaktad\u0131r. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fler, mali durumunuz ile risk ve getiri tercihlerinize uygun olmayabilir. Bu nedenle sadece burada yer alan bilgilere dayan\u0131larak yat\u0131r\u0131m karar\u0131 verilmesi beklentilerinize uygun sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furmayabilir.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>27 Ocak 2023 cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc 5191,83 seviyesinden kapatan Bist100 endeksi, bu hafta kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 4997,63 seviyesinden ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirerek %3,74 de\u011fer kaybetti. B\u00f6ylece 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde Bist100\u2019deki de\u011fer kayb\u0131 %9,23 e ula\u015ft\u0131. Borsada geride kalan be\u015f haftan\u0131n ard\u0131ndan her ne kadar Bist100 endeksi y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana %9,23 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle bu hafta kapan\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirse de asl\u0131nda bir \u00e7ok hissede [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1047,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[43],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1046","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-yazarlar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/amazing-banzai.188-132-230-163.plesk.page\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1046","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/amazing-banzai.188-132-230-163.plesk.page\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/amazing-banzai.188-132-230-163.plesk.page\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/amazing-banzai.188-132-230-163.plesk.page\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/amazing-banzai.188-132-230-163.plesk.page\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1046"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/amazing-banzai.188-132-230-163.plesk.page\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1046\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/amazing-banzai.188-132-230-163.plesk.page\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1047"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/amazing-banzai.188-132-230-163.plesk.page\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1046"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/amazing-banzai.188-132-230-163.plesk.page\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1046"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/amazing-banzai.188-132-230-163.plesk.page\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1046"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}